May. 15, 2023 | Share Market News | Stock Market

Daily Research Report || May. 15, 2023

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Outlook

The SGX Nifty trends indicate a negative opening for the broader index in India with a loss of 71 points.

The Nifty 50 closed at 18,314.80 gain of 0.10%, while the BSE Senex closed at 62,027.90 with a gain of 0.20%. The support and resistance levels for the Nifty 50 are 18,230 and 18,440, respectively.

Currencies

The rupee dropped for the second consecutive day, losing 7 paise to 82.16 versus the US dollar on Friday as investor confidence was dampened by a strong foreign dollar. The decline was, however, cushioned by an upward trend in local equities and continuing foreign money inflows. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the local currency began weakly against the US dollar at 82.11 and fell 7 paise to settle at 82.16 (provisional). The rupee's intraday high versus the dollar was 82.09, and its low was 82.23, during the session.

Commodities

On Friday morning, crude oil prices fell as a result of market concerns that the US debt ceiling's uncertainty will have a negative effect on the world economy. The price of June WTI crude oil futures were $70.49, down 0.54 percent, while the price of July Brent oil futures was $74.53, down 0.60 percent. Initial trading on the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX) for crude oil futures showed May futures at 5804 against the previous close of 5843, down 0.67 percent, and June futures at 5834 against the previous close of 5876, down 0.71 percent. 

Gold prices in the national capital was up by ₹6.00 to ₹60,898 per 10 grams in the last trading session. In the previous trade, the precious metal had gained at ₹60,892 per 10 grams. Silver was down by ₹708 to ₹73,100 per kilogram from ₹73,808 per kg in the previous trade.

Consolidated Call Tracker
Name Entry Trade Stop Loss Target
GPIL BUY 368.00 364.00 375.00
DAAWAT BUY 114.00 112.00 117.00
TATAMOTORS BUY 516.00 510.00 527.00
Commodity Pivot Table
Scrip Expiry S3 S2 S1 Pivot Point R1 R2 R3
ALUMINIUM May 31, 2023 202.60 203.50 204.90 205.80 207.20 208.10 209.50
CRUDE OIL May 19, 2023 5579.80 5671.40 5722.80 5814.40 5865.80 5957.40 6008.80
COPPER May 31, 2023 716.20 720.80 724.70 729.30 733.20 737.80 741.70
GOLD June 5, 2023 60033.80 60279.40 60588.80 60834.40 61143.80 61389.40 61698.80
NATURAL GAS May 25, 2023 168.70 173.10 181.50 185.90 194.30 198.70 207.10
SILVER July 5, 2023 71391.00 71998.00 72549.00 73156.00 73707.00 74314.00 74865.00
ZINC May 31, 2023 220.70 226.05 227.95 229.50 231.40 232.95 234.85
Economy News

India's exports of goods to Asia and some parts of Africa decreased in FY23, which slowed the expansion of its overall exports. However, strong development in exports was maintained with increasing shipments to the European Union and the US, despite the global economic crisis and increased geopolitical threats. The decline in shipments to North East Asia, which includes China (-27.9%), Hong Kong (-9.9%), South Korea (-17.7%), and Japan (-11.5%) slowed India's total export growth. While China's zero-Covid policy largely decreased demand for Indian commodities in FY23, Japan and South Korea drastically curtailed their imports of petroleum products and diamonds from India, which had previously obtained these goods from sanction-hit Russia.

Due to decreased likelihood of more rate increases by the US Federal Reserve, a positive outlook for the domestic economy, and a solid earnings season, foreign investors showed a significant purchasing interest in Indian stocks in May and spent more than Rs 23,152 crore in the first week. As a result, statistics available with the depositories revealed that Foreign Portfolio Investors (FPIs) had turned into net purchasers of stocks in 2023 by bringing in Rs 8,572 crore. 

If India uses 10% of its 2,600 billion cubic metres of coal bed methane reserves, it may reduce its energy import cost by USD 2 billion. This is significant since there are plans to substantially raise India's coal output, which reached a record high during the previous fiscal year. The nation might soon save over USD 2 billion on import costs because to the industry's concerted efforts to use coal bed methane (CBM). India is thought to have a reserve of 2600 billion cubic metres of coal bed methane.

Due to a high base and lessening pricing pressures across all categories, India's retail inflation rate in April decreased to an 18-month low, providing the central bank flexibility to continue a lengthy rate pause. On the other hand, factory output growth abruptly slowed down to a five-month low in March, underscoring worries about poor consumer demand. Inflation measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was 4.70% in April compared to 5.66% the month before. For the second consecutive month in 2023, the headline inflation rate was under the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) upper tolerance range due to moderation in the prices of food, gasoline, apparel, and services.

Corporate News

In comparison to the same time last year, when revenue was Rs 8,606.09 crore, the DMart network of retail stores recorded a 21 percent growth in revenue at Rs 10,337 crore. Additionally, it saw an 8% increase in net profit, from Rs 466.35 crore in the same time last year to Rs 505.21 crore this year. However, revenue fell from the quarter that ended in December, which showed Rs 11,304.58 crore in sales, while net profit fell from Rs 641.07 crore in the quarter that concluded in December.

DLF fewer expenditures contributed to a 40% rise in its consolidated net profit, which came in at Rs. 569.60 crore for the quarter ending March 2023. Its net profit during the prior fiscal year was Rs 405.54 crore. In the fourth quarter of current fiscal year, total income decreased to Rs 1,575.70 crore from Rs 1,652.13 crore in the corresponding quarter of the previous year.  From Rs 1,500.32 crore in 2021–2022 to Rs 2,033.95 crore in the most recent fiscal year, DLF's net profit climbed by 36%.

Price increases and robust demand for commercial trucks and vehicles from Tata Motors Ltd's luxury Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) stable helped the company achieve its second consecutive quarterly profit.  In comparison to the same quarter a year prior, the firm reported a net profit of Rs 5,408 crore during the January to March quarter. Additionally, it declared a dividend of Rs 2 per share, the first in almost seven years.

The March quarter's net profit for Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd (HPCL) increased by 79%, thanks to improved refining margins and recovering gasoline marketing profits. In comparison to the same time a year prior, the combined net profit for January through March was Rs 3,608.32 crore as opposed to Rs 2,018.45 crore. However, the business reported a loss of Rs 6,980.23 crore for the entire fiscal year 2022–23 (April 2022–March 2023) after suffering significant losses in the first half due to retaining petrol, diesel, and LPG prices despite an increase in cost. It keeps its prices the same, but thanks to a drop in global oil costs, it is now generating significant margins.

Securities In Ban
Symbol MWPL%
MANAPPURAM 80.68
PNB 94.48
BHEL 82.84
CANBK 80.78
GNFC 114.23
DELTACORP 104.46
Volatility Index Nifty % Chg
INDIA VIX 12.85 -2.8%
Net Flows (Cr) Net FII Net DII
Cash 1014.06 -922.19
FII Stock Options 12.74 0.0
FII Stock Future 4.77 0.0
FII Index Options -255.0 0.0
FII Index Future -245.43 0.0
Interest Rates Value % Chg
10 Yr. bond yield 6.995 0.0%
US and European Markets

North and South American markets finished mixed as of the most recent closing prices. The Bovespa gained 0.19%, while the S&P 500 led the IPC lower. They fell 0.16% and 0.12% respectively.

European markets finished higher on Friday with shares in Germany leading the region. The DAX is up 0.50% while France's CAC 40 is up 0.45% and London's FTSE 100 is up 0.25%.

Asian Markets

Asian markets finished mixed as of the most recent closing prices. The Nikkei 225 gained 0.02%, while the Shanghai Composite led the Hang Seng lower. They fell 0.29% and 0.05% respectively.

DISCLAIMER

This report is only for the information of our customers. Recommendations, opinions, or suggestions are given with the understanding that readers acting on this informationassume all risks involved. The information provided herein is not to be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities of any kind. ATS and/or its group companies do not asassume any responsibility or liability resulting from the use of such information.

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